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Good Developers - Bad Developers: A Risk Resolution and Transformation Plan for Real Estate Enterprises

Yu Fei, Guo Kai

Abstract:In the process of resolving of risks associated with real estate enterprises, the "Project-based resolution" approach has certain limitations. Firstly, it may lead to the preferential resolution of high-quality assets at lower prices, increasing the proportion of non-performing assets in the remaining assets and the difficulty of subsequent resolution. Secondly, while prioritizing the resolution of some project assets, it also prioritizes the settlement of some relat... 10.23.2024

How to Understand China's Trade Surplus Data?

Liu Yitong，Guo Kai

Abstract:The trade surplus data reported by Customs and the Foreign Exchange Administration (simplified as SAFE) has never been completely consistent. Since 2021, the surplus data from Customs has started to exceed that from the SAFE, with the gap widening over the following two years. Although this discrepancy is not large compared to China's massive economy, it may alter assessments of global imbalances and capital flows on a global scale, thereby attracting some internatio... 10.21.2024

Understanding China’s Incremental Fiscal Policies

SHENG Zhongming, ZHU He

The original Chinese text was published on October 13, 2024 10.21.2024

How to Stop the Real Estate Decline and Spur a Stable Recovery

GUO Kai, ZHU He, YU Fei

The original Chinese text was published on October 7, 2024 10.21.2024

How to Understand the Incremental Fiscal Policies Announced at the Ministry of Finance Press Briefing?

The original Chinese text was published on October 12, 2024 10.12.2024

Rethinking CPI and Real Interest Rates

SHENG Zhongming

The original Chinese text was published on August 11, 2024 08.29.2024

Trade Surpluses of Great Powers and Their Circulation

Guo Kai (CF40 Institute) Liu Yitong (CF40 Institute Intern)

Trade imbalances among major powers often lead to significant spillover effects and friction between nations, and historically, persistent and significant trade imbalances have been important sources of international disputes. By analyzing the surplus cycles of four typical great powers - Britain, the United States, Japan, and Germany - during different historical periods, this paper points out that when trade imbalances cannot be quickly or fundamentally eliminated, countrie... 08.19.2024

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