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How to Build a Great Power of Digital Finance

HUANG Yiping - Director of Institute of Digital Finance, Peking University

Abstract: In October 2023, the Central Financial Work Conference clearly stated that "building a strong financial nation" requires significant efforts in five major areas, which includes digital finance. The development of digital finance can change the financial system in three aspects: access, efficiency, and risk control, thus contributing to the development of a strong financial nation. China has a first-mover advantage in the field of digital finance, and the development... 04.17.2024

Global Macro Environment: Stocktaking 2023 and Outlook for 2024

SHAO Suya - CF40 Institute

Abstract: A look at recaps of global significant events of 2023 by international think tanks and scholars reveals the following ten keywords that shape the narrative of the year: climate change and energy transition, artificial intelligence, the Israel-Hamas war, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the new era of pandemics, the US-China relationship, the US economy, global rise of populism, China's economy, and the space race. In addition to these important events and their devel... 04.17.2024

Stabilizing Developers' Cash Flow: A Key Priority in China's Real Estate Market

Zhang Bin - CF40 Non-Resident Senior Fellow; Deputy Director, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

Abstract: Over the past two years, the downward correction in China's real estate industry has been reasonable, but it still deviates significantly from the trend. Unlike real estate market crises abroad, the recent corrections in China's market are not due to risks in the residential sector but in the real estate companies. Frequent risk events in these companies in the past year have led to reduced government-led spending and a decline in real estate-related credit, exacerb... 04.17.2024

Reflections and Suggestions on the Development of China’s Financial System in Support of Technological Innovations and the High-Quality Development of Manufacturing

HUANG Qifan - Former Mayor of Chongqing

Abstract: China's technological innovation system is divided into three stages: the fundamental innovation stage of “0 to 1,” the research commercialization stage of “1 to 100”, and the mass production stage of “100 to 1 million.” Currently, China's “0 to 1” stage is relatively weak, mainly due to insufficient investment. In the next 10-15 years, it is necessary to increase the proportion of funding for this stage in GDP to 20% by 2035 to catch up with the average investment ... 04.17.2024

The Year America Launched “Cash for Clunkers” Program

ZHU He - CF40 Institute; ZHONG Yi - CF40 Institute

Abstract: Following the 2008 financial crisis, the U.S. government initiated the Cash for Clunkers program in July 2009, officially known as the Car Allowance Rebate System (CARS). This program aimed to encourage Americans to replace their old vehicles with new ones by offering financial incentives. It ran for one month and cost the Treasury $2.85 billion. While the government considered it a successful anti-recession measure, both the automotive industry and economists disag... 04.17.2024

The Power of Depreciation

ZHU He - CF40 Institute

Abstract: Any policy aimed at stimulating demand for manufacturing equipment renewals can be understood at the macro level as “increasing short-term investment demand by raising the current depreciation rate in the manufacturing sector”. This brief attempted to provide an “anchor” for assessing the effectiveness of the manufacturing equipment renewal policy, namely, how much of the annual new investment in China's manufacturing sector reflects investment demand driven by depr... 04.17.2024

If the PBOC Began to Increase Bond Purchases in the Open Market Operations

ZHU He - CF40 Institute; GUO Kai - CF40 Institute

Abstract: Recently, the market has engaged in extensive discussions on the government statement that “the People's Bank of China (PBOC) should gradually increase Treasury bond transactions in the open market operations”. Some believe that this may indicate that the PBOC is preparing to enter the phase of quantitative easing, while more aggressive views suggest that this signals the onset of “ modern money theory” (MMT) in China. The brief believes that buying and selling Trea... 04.17.2024

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