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China’s Silver Economy: Account-Based Pensions and the Capital Market

Abstract: The impact of population aging on the economy is systemic, endogenous, and long-term. From a supply and demand viewpoint, as industries undergo the age-friendly transition, new demands will emerge to generate new supplies, which will in turn open up new space for demands, creating new drivers of growth and scaling up the silver economy in this process. But in reality, to achieve this closed loop of supply and demand, we need to take into account the pension security... 05.15.2024

Building China into a Financial Powerhouse and the Role of Hong Kong

CF40 Research Department

Recently, the China Finance 40 Forum (CF40) held a luncheon on the theme of Building China into a Financial Powerhouse and the Role of Hong Kong. Laura Cha, Academic Advisor for CF40 and then Chair of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, stated that Hong Kong would fully leverage its advantages as a financial sector and contribute significantly to China’s financial development by focusing on core financial elements that are essential for building a financial powerhouse. 05.15.2024

Unleash Economic Growth with Greater Countercyclical Policy Efforts

Zhang Bin, CF40 Non-resident Senior Fellow

Abstract: The main challenge facing the current economy is the lack of effective demand. If we can solve this key issue, many other issues could be solved easily. Increasing aggregate effective demand, whether by expanding consumption or investment demand, ultimately requires credit growth, which mainly relies on measures in three aspects: the first is to expand government borrowing to a minimum of 11 trillion yuan to increase expenditure; the second is to ease monetary polic... 05.15.2024

Risk Management and Institutional Developmentin Quantitative Investment

ZHOU Xin，CF40 Guest Speaker

An objective and accurate definition of quantitative investment is the premise for analyzing it. First, quantitative and active investment are not opposites and do not employ fundamentally different investment logic. Second, quantitative investment is not synonymous with hedging, nor is it a guaranteed investment approach regardless of market conditions. Finally, quantitative investment is not solely about high-frequency trading, nor is it entirely a “black box” strategy. Ess... 05.15.2024

Economic and Policy Highlights Following the Two Sessions

Robin XING, CF40 Member

This year’s economic growth target conveys the government’s intention to guide expectations and stabilize confidence, but it will not be an easy task. The contraction of local government financing vehicles (LGFVs) and the decrease in land transfer revenue will restrict to some extent how expansionary broad fiscal policy can be. To offset the tightening effects of deleveraging in the real estate and LGFV sectors and to bring the inflation rate and nominal GDP growth back to m... 05.15.2024

Overcoming Concerns about Carbon Price Increases, and Accelerating Nationwide Expansion of Carbon Markets

Sun Mingchun , CF40 Member

Historically, to avoid rapid increases in carbon prices that could hinder economic growth and hurt employment, China has preferred to use fiscal subsidies to provide financial support and incentives for lowcarbon transition. However, in terms of expanding carbon markets, ensuring access for participants, and diversifying trading products, China has proceeded cautiously. It has adopted relatively loose carbon quota allocation standards to control supply-demand gaps and preven... 05.15.2024

Silver Economy and Silver Economics

Cai Fang, Chairman of CF40 Academic Committee

The consumption capability and willingness of the elderly population are significantly lower compared to other age groups. Given China’s characteristic of “getting old before getting rich,” at least for a certain period, the consumption capability and willingness of the population will run counter to the trend of population pyramid evolution (age structure changes). Developing the silver economy, aimed at improving the welfare of the elderly and targeting the needs of the eld... 05.11.2024

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