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Narrowing US-China Interest Rate Differential Shouldn’t be an Obstacle for Monetary Easing in China

XU Qiyuan, CF40 Guest Researcher; Deputy Director & Research Fellow, IWEP, CASS & YANG Zirong Research Fellow, IWEP, CASS

This article was first published in Caijing. It is translated by CF40 and has not been reviewed by the authors. The viewpoints herein are the authors’ own and do not represent those of CF40 or other organizations. 03.22.2022

Economic Growth Prospects and Macroeconomic Policy Options for 2022

SHENG Zhongming (CF40 Research Associate), YANG Bohan (PhD candidate, University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences), YU Yongding (CF40 Advisor; Academician, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)

Abstract: China has set the goal for the GDP to grow about 5.5% this year. In this paper, the authors examined what this target means for the Chinese economy, and estimated how fast China’s infrastructure investment needs to grow in order to realize the target. The authors suggested that infrastructure investment should grow at 6%, and to achieve this goal, it is essential to increase budgetary expenditure for infrastructure investment. 03.21.2022

Signals of Maintaining Consumption Growth in the 2022 Government Work Report

LIU Yuanchun - CF40 Member; Vice President, Renmin University of China

The sharp drop in the growth of retail sales of consumer goods since the second half of 2021 is blamed for hindering China’s economic recovery. In this paper, the author probes into the reasons for the weak consumption and offers suggestions on how to boost consumption and bolster economic growth. 03.21.2022

China’s Financial System in Urgent Need of Transformation

HUANG Yiping - Chairman, CF40 Academic Committee; Deputy Dean, National School of Development, Peking University.

Abstract: China's economy is shifting from an input-based to an innovation-driven model, posing a challenge to the financial system. To reduce financial risks, the financial system should be transformed and financial regulation should be enhanced as soon as possible. Ⅰ. THE ECONOMY IS IN TRANSITION, BUT THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM IS NOT The Economic Observer: You said in 2017 that China was at a huge risk of a systematic financial crisis. At that time, China’s GDP grew at the rate... 03.11.2022

Policy Logic behind a 2.8% Budget Deficit

ZHU He - Deputy Director, CF40 Research Department; CF40 Research Fellow

General public budget expenditure could be secured this year, but whether fiscal expenditure, which includes governmental fund budget, can achieve higher year-on-year growth remains to be seen. The central government must pay special attention to it. 03.10.2022

Finance in Support of Old-Age Care in China

Author：LI Xunlei (Member of Academic Committee, Shanghai Finance Institute; Chief Economist, Zhongtai Securities), XU Chi (Senior Strategist, Zhongtai Securities)

With a fast ageing population, China needs to give bigger roles to its financial sector in support of old-age care. This article proposes policy suggestions at three fronts: (1) On pension management, China should implement a differentiated tax incentive system to boost market-based allocation of pension fund assets and expand the scope of pension fund investment for more diver... 03.10.2022

Improve Management of Climate-Related Risks by the Financial System

LIU Guiping Deputy Governor, the People’s Bank of China

This article will be published on China Finance, Vol. 05, 2022. It is translated by CF40 and has not been reviewed by the author himself. The viewpoints herein are the author’s own and do not represent those of CF40 or other organizations. 03.09.2022

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